000
WTPZ23 KNHC 050845
TCMEP3
HURRICANE FELICIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP082009
0900 UTC WED AUG 05 2009
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.4N 128.2W AT 05/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  970 MB
EYE DIAMETER  15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 45NE  45SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 75NE  60SE  45SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  90SE  60SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.4N 128.2W AT 05/0900Z
AT 05/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.1N 127.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 14.1N 129.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  45SW  45NW.
34 KT... 90NE  75SE  60SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 15.1N 131.2W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  45SE  30SW  45NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  45SW  60NW.
34 KT...105NE  90SE  75SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 16.1N 132.8W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  45SE  30SW  45NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  45SW  60NW.
34 KT...105NE  90SE  75SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 17.1N 134.6W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  45SW  60NW.
34 KT...105NE  90SE  75SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 18.5N 139.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  45SE  45SW  60NW.
34 KT...105NE  90SE  75SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/0600Z 19.0N 144.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/0600Z 19.0N 150.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.4N 128.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG