000
WTPZ23 KNHC 050239
TCMEP3
HURRICANE FELICIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP082009
0300 UTC WED AUG 05 2009
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.8N 127.2W AT 05/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  975 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 45NE  45SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 75NE  60SE  45SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 75NE  75SE  45SW  45NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.8N 127.2W AT 05/0300Z
AT 05/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.6N 126.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 13.4N 128.8W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  45SW  45NW.
34 KT... 90NE  75SE  60SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 14.4N 130.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  45SE  30SW  45NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  45SW  60NW.
34 KT...105NE  90SE  75SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 15.3N 132.2W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  45SE  30SW  45NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  45SW  60NW.
34 KT...105NE  90SE  75SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 16.1N 133.9W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  45SW  60NW.
34 KT...105NE  90SE  75SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 17.5N 138.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  45SE  45SW  60NW.
34 KT...105NE  90SE  75SW 105NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/0000Z 18.0N 143.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/0000Z 18.0N 149.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.8N 127.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN