000
WTPZ23 KNHC 042031
TCMEP3
HURRICANE FELICIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP082009
2100 UTC TUE AUG 04 2009
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 126.6W AT 04/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  985 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 35NE  30SE  25SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 75NE  60SE  45SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  60SE  45SW  45NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 126.6W AT 04/2100Z
AT 04/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.2N 126.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 13.0N 128.3W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 35NE  35SE  25SW  25NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 13.9N 130.1W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 14.7N 131.7W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  35SW  35NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  75SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 15.5N 133.3W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  35SW  35NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  75SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 16.5N 137.0W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  35SW  35NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  75SW  75NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/1800Z 17.5N 142.5W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z 17.5N 148.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.4N 126.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE