000
WTPZ23 KNHC 041637
TCMEP3
TROPICAL STORM FELICIA SPECIAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP082009
1700 UTC TUE AUG 04 2009
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.3N 125.8W AT 04/1700Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  990 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
34 KT....... 45NE  60SE  45SW  45NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 45NE  45SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.3N 125.8W AT 04/1700Z
AT 04/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.0N 124.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 12.8N 126.9W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 35NE  35SE  25SW  25NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  45SW  45NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 13.8N 128.8W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 14.6N 130.5W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  35SW  35NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  75SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 15.3N 132.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  35SW  35NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  75SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 16.5N 135.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  35SW  35NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  75SW  75NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 17.5N 141.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 17.5N 147.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.3N 125.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE/PASCH