000
WTPZ23 KNHC 041435
TCMEP3
TROPICAL STORM FELICIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP082009
1500 UTC TUE AUG 04 2009
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.7N 124.9W AT 04/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 45NE  60SE  45SW  45NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.7N 124.9W AT 04/1500Z
AT 04/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.5N 124.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 13.5N 126.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 45NE  60SE  45SW  45NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 14.4N 128.4W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 15.3N 130.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 25NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  35SW  35NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  75SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 16.1N 131.7W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  35SW  35NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  75SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 17.5N 135.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  75SE  75SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 18.0N 141.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 18.0N 147.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.7N 124.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE