000
WTPZ23 KNHC 102032
TCMEP3
TROPICAL DEPRESSION LOWELL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP132008
2100 UTC WED SEP 10 2008
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF
THE SOUTHERN BAJA PENINSULA FROM BAHIA MAGDALENA SOUTHWARD TO CABO
SAN LUCAS.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF LOWELL.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.8N 111.9W AT 10/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  35 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.8N 111.9W AT 10/2100Z
AT 10/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.5N 112.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 23.8N 111.1W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 25.4N 110.2W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 27.4N 109.6W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
OUTLOOK VALID 15/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.8N 111.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER RHOME