000
WTPZ23 KNHC 101445
TCMEP3
TROPICAL DEPRESSION LOWELL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP132008
1500 UTC WED SEP 10 2008
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF
THE SOUTHERN BAJA PENINSULA FROM BAHIA MAGDALENA SOUTHWARD TO CABO
SAN LUCAS.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF LOWELL.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.3N 112.1W AT 10/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  35 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.3N 112.1W AT 10/1500Z
AT 10/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.0N 112.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 23.0N 111.4W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 24.3N 110.5W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 26.0N 109.8W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 28.0N 109.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
OUTLOOK VALID 15/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.3N 112.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER RHOME