000
WTPZ23 KNHC 100847
TCMEP3
TROPICAL DEPRESSION LOWELL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP132008
0900 UTC WED SEP 10 2008
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF
THE SOUTHERN BAJA PENINSULA FROM BAHIA MAGDALENA SOUTHWARD TO CABO
SAN LUCAS.  THIS WATCH COULD BE DISCONTINUED LATER THIS MORNING.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF LOWELL.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.9N 112.7W AT 10/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  25 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE  75SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.9N 112.7W AT 10/0900Z
AT 10/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.7N 112.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 22.7N 112.1W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 23.8N 111.3W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 25.2N 110.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 26.7N 110.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 29.0N 109.5W...REMNANT LOW INLAND
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/0600Z...DISSIPATED
  
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.9N 112.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN