000
WTPZ23 KNHC 100235
TCMEP3
TROPICAL STORM LOWELL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP132008
0300 UTC WED SEP 10 2008
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF
THE SOUTHERN BAJA PENINSULA FROM BAHIA MAGDALENA SOUTHWARD TO CABO
SAN LUCAS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MAY BE REQUIRED WEDNESDAY
MORNING FOR PORTIONS OF THE WATCH AREA.
 
INTERESTS IN SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
LOWELL.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.3N 113.1W AT 10/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  15 DEGREES AT   5 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 45NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 150SE  75SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.3N 113.1W AT 10/0300Z
AT 10/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.1N 113.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 22.2N 112.6W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 45NE  55SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 23.3N 111.8W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 24.4N 110.9W...INLAND OVER SRN BAJA
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 25.9N 110.2W...OVER GULF OF CALIFORNIA
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 27.3N 109.9W...INLAND SWRN MEXICO
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/0000Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.3N 113.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART