000 WTPZ23 KNHC 091447 TCMEP3 TROPICAL STORM LOWELL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132008 1500 UTC TUE SEP 09 2008 INTERESTS IN SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF LOWELL. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.0N 113.5W AT 09/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT....... 60NE 75SE 75SW 45NW. 12 FT SEAS..180NE 180SE 90SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.0N 113.5W AT 09/1500Z AT 09/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.8N 113.4W FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 21.5N 113.7W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 45NE 60SE 60SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 22.4N 113.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 50SE 45SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 23.4N 112.7W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 24.7N 111.8W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 26.5N 111.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 13/1200Z 29.0N 110.0W...INLAND REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 14/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.0N 113.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/2100Z $$ FORECASTER RHOME