000
WTPZ23 KNHC 082033
TCMEP3
TROPICAL STORM LOWELL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP132008
2100 UTC MON SEP 08 2008
 
INTERESTS IN SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
LOWELL.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.8N 112.1W AT 08/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 90NE  90SE  90SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 180SE  90SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.8N 112.1W AT 08/2100Z
AT 08/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.5N 111.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 20.4N 112.7W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  90SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 21.2N 113.4W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  90SE  75SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 22.1N 113.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  90SE  75SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 23.1N 113.1W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  45SE  30SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 24.5N 112.0W...NEAR BAJA COAST
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  45SE  30SW   0NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/1800Z 25.5N 111.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/1800Z 26.5N 110.0W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.8N 112.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN