000
WTPZ23 KNHC 080226
TCMEP3
TROPICAL STORM LOWELL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP132008
0300 UTC MON SEP 08 2008
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.2N 109.8W AT 08/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  996 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT.......  0NE  30SE  30SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 75NE  75SE 100SW  45NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 200SE 100SW  80NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.2N 109.8W AT 08/0300Z
AT 08/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 109.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 18.9N 110.9W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  30SE  30SW  20NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE 100SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 19.9N 112.3W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  30SE  30SW  20NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE 100SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 20.7N 113.3W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 21.6N 113.7W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 22.8N 113.3W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  60SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/0000Z 24.0N 112.0W...NEAR SOUTHWEST COAST OF BAJA
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/0000Z 25.0N 110.5W...OVER SRN GULF OF CALIFORNIA
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.2N 109.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART