000
WTPZ23 KNHC 072037
TCMEP3
TROPICAL STORM LOWELL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP132008
2100 UTC SUN SEP 07 2008
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 108.8W AT 07/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  996 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 75NE  75SE 100SW  45NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 180SE  60SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 108.8W AT 07/2100Z
AT 07/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 108.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 18.7N 110.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE 100SW  45NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 19.6N 111.3W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  60SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 20.4N 112.4W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  60SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 21.0N 113.2W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  60SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 22.0N 113.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/1800Z 23.0N 112.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/1800Z 23.5N 111.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.9N 108.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE