000
WTPZ23 KNHC 071430
TCMEP3
TROPICAL STORM LOWELL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP132008
1500 UTC SUN SEP 07 2008
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 108.1W AT 07/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  998 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 30NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 180SE  60SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 108.1W AT 07/1500Z
AT 07/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 107.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 17.9N 109.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 18.7N 111.2W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 19.3N 112.6W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 20.0N 113.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 21.0N 114.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/1200Z 22.0N 114.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/1200Z 23.0N 113.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.2N 108.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE