000
WTPZ23 KNHC 070217
TCMEP3
TROPICAL STORM LOWELL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP132008
0300 UTC SUN SEP 07 2008
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 106.4W AT 07/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE  20SE  20SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 106.4W AT 07/0300Z
AT 07/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 105.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 16.4N 107.8W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 17.4N 110.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 18.0N 111.9W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE   0SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 18.4N 113.6W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 18.8N 115.1W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/0000Z 19.8N 116.4W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/0000Z 20.5N 117.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.7N 106.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART