000
WTPZ23 KNHC 021432
TCMEP3
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ERICK FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP082007
1500 UTC THU AUG 02 2007
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.6N 130.2W AT 02/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  35 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
12 FT SEAS..  0NE   0SE  75SW  30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.6N 130.2W AT 02/1500Z
AT 02/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.5N 129.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 13.7N 131.4W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 13.9N 133.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 14.2N 135.2W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 14.3N 137.3W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 14.5N 142.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 14.5N 145.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 14.5N 149.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.6N 130.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS/BEVEN