000
WTPZ23 KNHC 020232
TCMEP3
TROPICAL STORM ERICK FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP082007
0300 UTC THU AUG 02 2007
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.4N 128.6W AT 02/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  35 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......  0NE   0SE  60SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..  0NE   0SE  60SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.4N 128.6W AT 02/0300Z
AT 02/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.3N 128.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 13.6N 130.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...  0NE   0SE  60SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 13.9N 131.7W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...  0NE   0SE  60SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 14.1N 133.4W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  30SE  60SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 14.4N 135.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  30SE  60SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 14.8N 138.8W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  30SE  60SW  40NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z 14.9N 142.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/0000Z 15.0N 146.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.4N 128.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN