000
WTPZ23 KNHC 012030
TCMEP3
TROPICAL STORM ERICK FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP082007
2100 UTC WED AUG 01 2007
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.6N 127.1W AT 01/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......  0NE   0SE  60SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..  0NE   0SE  60SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.6N 127.1W AT 01/2100Z
AT 01/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.4N 126.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 13.7N 128.4W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...  0NE   0SE  60SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 13.9N 130.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...  0NE   0SE  60SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 14.2N 131.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  30SE  60SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 14.4N 133.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  30SE  60SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 14.7N 136.8W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  30SE  60SW  40NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 15.0N 139.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 15.0N 143.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.6N 127.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER RHOME