000
WTPZ22 KNHC 172031
TCMEP2
 
HURRICANE BLAS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP022022
2100 UTC FRI JUN 17 2022
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.4N 109.9W AT 17/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  980 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE  15SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT.......120NE  80SE  70SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 180SE 120SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.4N 109.9W AT 17/2100Z
AT 17/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 109.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 17.8N 111.3W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 18.1N 112.6W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  50SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 18.3N 113.6W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 18.4N 114.6W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 18.3N 115.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 18.2N 116.5W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE   0SE   0SW  50NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/1800Z 18.6N 118.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 22/1800Z 19.0N 120.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.4N 109.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI