000
WTPZ22 KNHC 152045
TCMEP2
 
HURRICANE BLAS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP022022
2100 UTC WED JUN 15 2022
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 103.1W AT 15/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT   5 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  980 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
64 KT.......  0NE  15SE  15SW   0NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  40SE  40SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 60NE  80SE  80SW  80NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 105SE  60SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 103.1W AT 15/2100Z
AT 15/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 102.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 15.5N 104.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  80SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 16.1N 105.5W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  80SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 16.7N 107.4W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  80SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 17.4N 109.3W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  80SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 18.0N 111.1W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  60SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 18.3N 112.3W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z 18.8N 114.9W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/1800Z 18.5N 116.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.1N 103.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PAPIN