000
WTPZ22 KNHC 221453
TCMEP2
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVENTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP172021
1500 UTC FRI OCT 22 2021
 
INTERESTS ALONG THE SOUTHERN AND SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO
SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.7N 100.5W AT 22/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.7N 100.5W AT 22/1500Z
AT 22/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.7N 100.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 13.0N 101.3W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE   0SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 13.9N 101.9W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  70SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 14.6N 102.3W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 10NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  70SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 15.3N 102.7W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  10SE  10SW  10NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  70SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 16.2N 103.1W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 17.3N 103.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  40SW  40NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z 19.8N 104.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/1200Z 22.0N 104.3W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.7N 100.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER LATTO