000
WTPZ22 KNHC 100843
TCMEP2
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP122021
0900 UTC TUE AUG 10 2021
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.0N 100.8W AT 10/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.0N 100.8W AT 10/0900Z
AT 10/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.8N 100.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 13.7N 102.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  50SE  50SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 14.3N 103.6W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  60SE  60SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 14.5N 105.3W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 14.7N 106.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 15.3N 107.9W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  70SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 16.3N 109.4W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  70SW  80NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/0600Z 18.2N 113.3W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 15/0600Z 19.0N 117.5W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.0N 100.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER REINHART/PASCH