000
WTPZ22 KNHC 171439
TCMEP2
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP072021
1500 UTC SAT JUL 17 2021
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 109.2W AT 17/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT  15 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 109.2W AT 17/1500Z
AT 17/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 108.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 17.3N 110.8W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE   0SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 17.9N 112.8W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE   0SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 18.2N 115.1W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  30SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 18.3N 117.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  50SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 18.5N 120.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  50SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 18.5N 122.6W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  50SW  70NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/1200Z 18.2N 127.7W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 22/1200Z 17.9N 132.9W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.8N 109.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART