000
WTPZ22 KNHC 311432
TCMEP2
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP022021
1500 UTC MON MAY 31 2021
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 107.7W AT 31/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 107.7W AT 31/1500Z
AT 31/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.2N 107.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 12.9N 109.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE   0SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 13.5N 110.2W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  20SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 14.2N 111.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 14.7N 112.3W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE   0SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 15.1N 113.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE   0SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 15.3N 113.8W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/1200Z 15.6N 115.3W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 15.8N 117.4W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.4N 107.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI