408 
WTPZ22 KNHC 170233
TCMEP2
 
TROPICAL STORM GENEVIEVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP122020
0300 UTC MON AUG 17 2020
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 100.4W AT 17/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  16 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  998 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
34 KT....... 80NE  40SE   0SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE   0SE   0SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 100.4W AT 17/0300Z
AT 17/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.2N  99.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 13.4N 102.7W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 90NE  50SE  30SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 14.8N 105.7W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  50SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 16.3N 108.2W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  70SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 17.7N 110.1W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE  90SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 19.1N 111.5W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE 100SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 20.4N 112.9W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...140NE 130SE 100SW 110NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/0000Z 22.7N 116.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 22/0000Z 24.7N 119.7W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.4N 100.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART