000 WTPZ22 KNHC 162035 TCMEP2 TROPICAL STORM GENEVIEVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP122020 2100 UTC SUN AUG 16 2020 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.2N 99.2W AT 16/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 17 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT....... 90NE 0SE 0SW 70NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.2N 99.2W AT 16/2100Z AT 16/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.9N 98.4W FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 12.9N 101.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 90NE 40SE 30SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 14.3N 104.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 15SE 0SW 15NW. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT...100NE 70SE 50SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 15.7N 107.2W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 15SE 15SW 20NW. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT...110NE 90SE 80SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 17.2N 109.3W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 20SE 15SW 25NW. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW. 34 KT...130NE 110SE 90SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 18.6N 110.9W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...140NE 130SE 100SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 20.2N 112.4W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...140NE 130SE 100SW 100NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 20/1800Z 22.5N 115.3W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 21/1800Z 24.7N 119.1W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.2N 99.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BROWN