000
WTPZ22 KNHC 160832
TCMEP2

POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE SEVENTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP172019
0900 UTC WED OCT 16 2019

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BARRA DE TONALA TO PUERTO ESCONDIDO

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12
HOURS.

POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.4N  94.9W AT 16/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  35 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT  11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.4N  94.9W AT 16/0900Z
AT 16/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.0N  94.5W

FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 16.5N  96.2W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 18.0N  98.0W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.4N  94.9W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPEP2...AT 16/1200Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA