000
WTPZ22 KNHC 160247
TCMEP2

POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE SEVENTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP172019
0300 UTC WED OCT 16 2019

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FROM
BARRA DE TONALA WESTWARD TO PUERTO ESCONDIDO.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BARRA DE TONALA TO PUERTO ESCONDIDO

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12
TO 24 HOURS.

POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.7N  93.4W AT 16/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  35 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT   9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.7N  93.4W AT 16/0300Z
AT 16/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.4N  92.9W

FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 14.6N  94.8W...TROPICAL STORM
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  50SE   0SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 16.2N  96.2W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 17.6N  97.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.7N  93.4W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPEP2...AT 16/0600Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN