000
WTPZ22 KNHC 020232
TCMEP2
 
TROPICAL STORM FLOSSIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP072019
0300 UTC FRI AUG 02 2019
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 134.8W AT 02/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  16 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 50NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT.......100NE  80SE  30SW  80NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 120SE 120SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 134.8W AT 02/0300Z
AT 02/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 134.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 16.9N 137.2W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 25NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  30SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 17.5N 140.2W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  30SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 18.1N 143.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE   0SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 18.7N 145.7W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE   0SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 19.7N 150.6W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE   0SW  50NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z 22.5N 154.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/0000Z 27.5N 155.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.4N 134.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE