000
WTPZ22 KNHC 301451
TCMEP2
 
TROPICAL STORM FLOSSIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP072019
1500 UTC TUE JUL 30 2019
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.2N 120.5W AT 30/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  999 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 70NE  40SE  30SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  30SE  30SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.2N 120.5W AT 30/1500Z
AT 30/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.1N 119.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 12.5N 122.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 13.1N 125.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE  90SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 13.8N 127.6W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  70SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 14.6N 130.3W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  70SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 16.1N 136.0W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...130NE 120SE  70SW 120NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 03/1200Z 17.3N 141.7W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/1200Z 18.5N 147.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.2N 120.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER ZELINSKY