000
WTPZ22 KNHC 041432
TCMEP2

HURRICANE BARBARA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP022019
1500 UTC THU JUL 04 2019

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 130.0W AT 04/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT  10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  960 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  40SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 80NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT.......140NE 160SE 100SW 130NW.
12 FT SEAS..330NE 300SE 330SW 360NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 130.0W AT 04/1500Z
AT 04/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 129.6W

FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 17.0N 131.2W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...130NE 140SE  80SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 18.1N 133.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  20SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  60SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 18.9N 135.2W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...110NE  60SE  50SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 19.2N 137.8W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...110NE  30SE  20SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 19.0N 143.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 18.8N 150.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.0N 130.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE