000
WTPZ22 KNHC 040231
TCMEP2

HURRICANE BARBARA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP022019
0300 UTC THU JUL 04 2019

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 128.5W AT 04/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT  10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  947 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  40SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 80NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT.......140NE 160SE 100SW 130NW.
12 FT SEAS..390NE 300SE 270SW 330NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 128.5W AT 04/0300Z
AT 04/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.6N 128.0W

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 15.8N 129.7W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...140NE 150SE  90SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 17.0N 131.3W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...140NE 130SE  80SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 18.2N 133.1W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE  80SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 19.0N 135.1W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE  80SE  60SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 19.1N 140.6W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...110NE   0SE   0SW  90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 08/0000Z 18.8N 146.9W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 09/0000Z 18.5N 153.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.9N 128.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER ZELINSKY