000
WTPZ22 KNHC 150254
TCMEP2
 
TROPICAL STORM NORMA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP172017
0300 UTC FRI SEP 15 2017
 
INTERESTS IN BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
NORMA.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.3N 109.3W AT 15/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT   5 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE  60SE  60SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 180SE 150SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.3N 109.3W AT 15/0300Z
AT 15/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 109.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 18.7N 109.3W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  70SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 19.2N 109.3W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  80SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 19.7N 109.4W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  90SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 20.6N 109.6W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  90SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 22.7N 110.3W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE  90SW  80NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/0000Z 25.1N 110.6W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z 27.5N 109.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.3N 109.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN