000
WTPZ22 KNHC 120230
TCMEP2
 
TROPICAL STORM JOVA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP122017
0300 UTC SAT AUG 12 2017
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.3N 109.8W AT 12/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......180NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.3N 109.8W AT 12/0300Z
AT 12/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.1N 109.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 19.7N 111.6W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE   0SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 19.9N 113.9W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE   0SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 20.1N 116.2W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 70NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 20.3N 118.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 20.5N 123.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 16/0000Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.3N 109.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE