000
WTPZ22 KNHC 211458
TCMEP2
 
TROPICAL STORM GREG FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP072017
1500 UTC FRI JUL 21 2017
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 119.2W AT 21/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 60NE  20SE  20SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  45SE  45SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 119.2W AT 21/1500Z
AT 21/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 118.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 15.4N 120.7W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  20SE  20SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 15.7N 122.8W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  30SE  30SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 15.9N 125.1W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  40SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 16.0N 127.4W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  50SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 16.2N 130.8W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  50SW  70NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/1200Z 17.1N 133.9W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z 18.5N 136.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.1N 119.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE