000
WTPZ22 KNHC 311443
TCMEP2

TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP022017
1500 UTC WED MAY 31 2017

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FROM
SALINA CRUZ TO PUERTO ESCONDIDO.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE PACIFIC COAST OF MEXICO FROM SALINA CRUZ TO PUERTO ESCONDIDO

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.9N  97.8W AT 31/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  35 DEGREES AT   3 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  25 KT WITH GUSTS TO  35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.9N  97.8W AT 31/1500Z
AT 31/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.8N  97.9W

FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 14.2N  97.7W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 14.6N  97.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 14.9N  97.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...40NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 15.1N  96.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...40NE  40SE  40SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 15.5N  96.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 04/1200Z 15.5N  97.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 15.5N  98.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.9N  97.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN