000
WTPZ22 KNHC 212038
TCMEP2

HURRICANE LOWELL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP122014
2100 UTC THU AUG 21 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.3N 122.3W AT 21/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT   3 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  982 MB
EYE DIAMETER  60 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE  50SE   0SW  50NW.
50 KT....... 80NE  70SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT.......160NE 140SE 140SW 160NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 390SE 300SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.3N 122.3W AT 21/2100Z
AT 21/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.3N 122.1W

FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 21.3N 123.2W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT...160NE 140SE 140SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 22.3N 124.6W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  60SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT...160NE 140SE 140SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 23.4N 126.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  60SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT...160NE 140SE 140SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 24.5N 127.4W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  90SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 26.2N 130.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  60SW 120NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 25/1800Z 28.0N 133.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z 29.5N 137.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.3N 122.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN