000
WTPZ22 KNHC 202031
TCMEP2
 
TROPICAL STORM LOWELL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP122014
2100 UTC WED AUG 20 2014
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.4N 121.5W AT 20/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT   4 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  988 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 50NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT.......120NE 180SE 150SW 110NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 360SE 240SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.4N 121.5W AT 20/2100Z
AT 20/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.3N 121.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 19.8N 121.9W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...150NE 180SE 150SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 20.6N 122.6W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...150NE 180SE 120SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 21.6N 123.6W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 120SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 22.8N 124.9W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 120SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 24.9N 127.8W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  60SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/1800Z 26.5N 130.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/1800Z 27.5N 133.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.4N 121.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN