000
WTPZ22 KNHC 192032
TCMEP2
 
TROPICAL STORM LOWELL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP122014
2100 UTC TUE AUG 19 2014
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.4N 120.3W AT 19/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  996 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......120NE 180SE 150SW 110NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 240SE 120SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.4N 120.3W AT 19/2100Z
AT 19/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.1N 120.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 18.8N 120.8W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...120NE 180SE 150SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 19.3N 121.3W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...120NE 180SE 150SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 20.0N 121.7W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...120NE 180SE 150SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 21.0N 122.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...120NE 180SE 120SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 23.5N 125.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...150NE 150SE  60SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/1800Z 25.5N 128.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/1800Z 27.5N 131.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.4N 120.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN