000
WTPZ22 KNHC 191433
TCMEP2
 
TROPICAL STORM LOWELL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP122014
1500 UTC TUE AUG 19 2014
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 119.7W AT 19/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  996 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 70NE 120SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..225NE 210SE  60SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 119.7W AT 19/1500Z
AT 19/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 119.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 18.2N 120.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...  0NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 80NE 130SE  90SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 18.8N 121.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  60SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE 150SE 100SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 19.4N 121.3W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  60SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE 170SE 100SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 20.1N 121.8W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  60SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...110NE 180SE  90SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 22.5N 124.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...120NE 150SE  60SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/1200Z 25.0N 127.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/1200Z 26.5N 130.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.7N 119.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN