000
WTPZ22 KNHC 190230
TCMEP2
 
TROPICAL STORM LOWELL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP122014
0300 UTC TUE AUG 19 2014
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 118.6W AT 19/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......  0NE 120SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..  0NE 180SE 180SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 118.6W AT 19/0300Z
AT 19/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 118.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 17.4N 119.4W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 130SE  90SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 18.0N 120.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 150SE 100SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 18.6N 120.4W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  60SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE 170SE 100SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 19.3N 120.8W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  60SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...110NE 180SE  90SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 21.0N 121.9W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 150SE  60SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/0000Z 23.4N 124.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/0000Z 25.5N 127.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.0N 118.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE