000
WTPZ22 KNHC 232033
TCMEP2
 
TROPICAL STORM RAYMOND FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP172013
2100 UTC WED OCT 23 2013
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 103.8W AT 23/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OR 250 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  90SE  90SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 103.8W AT 23/2100Z
AT 23/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 103.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 14.8N 105.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 14.6N 106.7W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 14.4N 108.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 13.9N 110.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 13.2N 114.2W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z 13.5N 118.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 28/1800Z 15.0N 120.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.0N 103.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE