000
WTPZ22 KNHC 310234
TCMEP2
 
TROPICAL STORM ROSA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP172012
0300 UTC WED OCT 31 2012
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 117.0W AT 31/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT   4 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 70NE  60SE   0SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  90SE   0SW  30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 117.0W AT 31/0300Z
AT 31/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 116.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 14.6N 117.6W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 14.7N 118.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 14.8N 118.8W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 14.9N 119.3W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  20SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 14.5N 120.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE   0SW  30NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/0000Z 14.2N 121.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z 14.0N 123.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.5N 117.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN