000 WTPZ22 KNHC 160851 TCMEP2 TROPICAL STORM LANE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP122012 0900 UTC SUN SEP 16 2012 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.3N 124.5W AT 16/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT....... 30NE 30SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT....... 50NE 50SE 20SW 40NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 45SE 30SW 120NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.3N 124.5W AT 16/0900Z AT 16/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.2N 124.2W FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 14.0N 125.4W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 70NE 70SE 40SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 14.9N 126.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 10NW. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 10SW 30NW. 34 KT... 80NE 80SE 40SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 16.2N 127.5W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 20SE 0SW 15NW. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 80SE 50SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 17.8N 128.4W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 80SE 50SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 20.0N 130.3W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 20/0600Z 20.0N 132.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 21/0600Z 19.5N 137.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.3N 124.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/1500Z $$ FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN