000
WTPZ22 KNHC 240235
TCMEP2
 
TROPICAL STORM BUD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP022012
0300 UTC THU MAY 24 2012
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH ALONG THE
PACIFIC COAST FROM PUNTA SAN TELMO TO LA FORTUNA.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 107.9W AT 24/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT   5 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  991 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 50NE  40SE   0SW  40NW.
34 KT.......120NE  90SE  70SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE  90SE  75SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 107.9W AT 24/0300Z
AT 24/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.0N 107.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 15.0N 107.6W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  20SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE  80SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 16.1N 107.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  30SE  10SW   0NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE  90SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 17.5N 106.3W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE  90SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 18.4N 105.9W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  80SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 19.0N 105.6W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  50SW  70NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 28/0000Z 18.5N 106.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 29/0000Z 18.0N 107.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.2N 107.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN