000 WTPZ22 KNHC 232041 TCMEP2 TROPICAL STORM BUD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP022012 2100 UTC WED MAY 23 2012 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. INTERESTS ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF BUD. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.9N 107.8W AT 23/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 995 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT. 50 KT....... 50NE 40SE 0SW 40NW. 34 KT.......120NE 90SE 70SW 100NW. 12 FT SEAS..120NE 90SE 60SW 90NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.9N 107.8W AT 23/2100Z AT 23/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.6N 107.7W FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 14.5N 108.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 20SW 50NW. 34 KT...120NE 110SE 80SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 15.5N 107.5W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 30SE 10SW 0NW. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 50NW. 34 KT...120NE 110SE 90SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 16.7N 106.8W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...120NE 110SE 90SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 17.8N 106.3W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT...110NE 100SE 80SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 18.5N 106.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 80SE 60SW 70NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z 18.0N 106.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 28/1800Z 17.5N 108.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.9N 107.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BERG