000
WTPZ22 KNHC 230234
TCMEP2
 
TROPICAL STORM BUD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP022012
0300 UTC WED MAY 23 2012
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.9N 105.9W AT 23/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 30NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 40NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.9N 105.9W AT 23/0300Z
AT 23/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.6N 105.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 13.7N 106.7W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 14.5N 107.1W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 15.4N 107.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 16.5N 106.3W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  50SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 18.5N 105.3W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/0000Z 19.0N 105.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 28/0000Z 18.5N 106.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.9N 105.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN