000
WTPZ22 KNHC 222032
TCMEP2
 
TROPICAL STORM BUD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP022012
2100 UTC TUE MAY 22 2012
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.0N 105.0W AT 22/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 30NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 40NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.0N 105.0W AT 22/2100Z
AT 22/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.7N 104.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 12.6N 106.1W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 13.5N 107.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 14.4N 107.2W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 15.4N 106.7W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  80SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 17.5N 105.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 100SE  80SW  80NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z 18.5N 105.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z 18.0N 105.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.0N 105.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG