000
WTPZ22 KNHC 120853
TCMEP2
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP122011
0900 UTC WED OCT 12 2011
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE
COAST OF MEXICO FROM BARRA DE TONALA SOUTHEASTWARD TO THE
MEXICO/GUATEMALA BORDER.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BARRA DE TONALA MEXICO SOUTHEASTWARD TO THE MEXICO/GUATEMALA
BORDER

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 12
TO 24 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.7N  93.6W AT 12/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT   4 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
12 FT SEAS.. 30NE 180SE 150SW  30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.7N  93.6W AT 12/0900Z
AT 12/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.5N  93.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 15.2N  93.6W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  45SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 15.7N  93.2W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 15.9N  91.9W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.7N  93.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN