000
WTPZ22 KNHC 192036
TCMEP2
 
TROPICAL STORM GREG FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP072011
2100 UTC FRI AUG 19 2011
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.6N 117.0W AT 19/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 70NE  60SE  45SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..130NE  30SE  90SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.6N 117.0W AT 19/2100Z
AT 19/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.5N 116.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 19.7N 118.6W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 65NE  60SE  45SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 19.7N 120.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 55NE  40SE  30SW  55NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 19.6N 122.2W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 19.3N 123.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 18.7N 126.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 23/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.6N 117.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART/WROE